A Decade of Delusions: From Speculative Contagion to the by Frank K. Martin

By Frank K. Martin

The confirmed techniques rational traders require for fulfillment in an irrational marketplace

When the dot-com and actual property bubbles of the Nineteen Nineties and 2000s burst, few have been spared the monetary fallout. So, how did an funding advisory company situated in Elkhart, Indiana one of many towns hit toughest through the commercial downturns not just continue to exist, but in addition thrive in the course of the hugely contagious speculative pandemics. by way of last rational. In A Decade of Delusions: From Speculative Contagion to the good Recession, Frank Martin founding father of Elkhart, Indiana's Martin Capital administration bargains a riveting and real-time insider's examine the 2 bubbles, and displays on how traders can stay rational even if markets are something yet. * Outlines thoughts the common investor can use to struggle through the unending information, details, and funding suggestion that bombards them * Describes the epidemic of marketplace hypothesis that delicately infects feverish traders * info how traders can spare themselves the emotional devastation and accompanying paralysis as a result of stunning monetary losses

Investors are nonetheless reeling from the instability out there. A Decade of Delusions: From Speculative Contagion to the nice Recession presents the knowledge traders have to in attaining safeguard, liquidity, and yield.

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Additional resources for A Decade of Delusions: From Speculative Contagion to the Great Recession

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We expect the earnings of the companies we own to grow at a rate no less than the earnings of the S&P 500 index, and yet we acquired them for one-third of the index’s price-earnings ratio. To paraphrase Benjamin Graham, in the short run, it’s popularity and outward appeal that help a girl win a fellow’s attention, but in the long run, it’s good cooking that helps her keep it. We would be less than candid if we didn’t admit to coveting the returns that the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have earned during the past Coke began a long stair-stepped descent, hitting $37 in the spring of 2003 and recently traded for $42.

Another handicap is the sometimes irrational behavior of market participants, seemingly playing in concert under the direction of a slightly mad imaginary maestro. We must rely on this market to ultimately vindicate our judgments. All too often it is painfully slow in adjusting to our way of thinking! As readers are acutely aware, our contention that there is little or no margin of safety in the current prices of many common stocks is of little relevance in a market where the players are rhapsodizing to an improvised tune, the tempo of which is wildly upbeat.

However, for the time period in question, most of the charts throughout the book reflect stock prices that typically range from flattish to downtrending, often accompanied by atypical volatility. The S&P 500 charts at the beginning of each chapter are a case in point. The arithmetic scales give a more accurate portrayal of the volatility in an environment that lacks no clear trend. The first eight chapters of A Decade of Delusions are taken virtually verbatim from the book Speculative Contagion (2006), which, in turn, was based on Martin Capital Management annual reports, 1998 –2004.

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